One last observation before this process begins: Derrick Rose was considered the consensus number one choice in 2008. Rose posted better college numbers (11.28 PAW40) but after two seasons he has yet to develop into one of the top point guards in the game. Maybe that will happen for Rose in the future. Maybe, though, it won’t. The Rose story, though, should be considered as Washington evaluates the merits of Wall. Remember – and I repeat – people were just as certain about Rose in 2008.
Just about every word is suspect, including "it" and "and." For fuck's sake Mr. Berri, DERRICK ROSE WON THE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR! He has clearly outperformed the only other player plausibly thought of as his rival for first pick in that draft. He has also clearly outplayed the second-best point guard taken in that draft (who is himself, no slouch). And though you claim with certainty that Rose has "yet to develop into one of the top point guards in the game," other objective sabermetricians clearly disagree. Dave Berry is actually disparaging a 21-year-old PG for failing to overtake Chris Paul, Deron Williams, Steve Nash, Chauncey Billups, and Rajon Rondo (or, arguably, five of the 20 best point guards ever) within his first two years in the league. (And, indeed, Derrick's PER this year was better than the 2nd-year PER of all of the above, with the exception of Chris Paul; historically, it was better than Jason Kidd's and just a smidge below Isiah Thomas'.)
Just as general advice to NBA analysts: if you find yourself using the career of Derrick Rose as a "cautionary tale" to teams drafting no. 1, you might want to reconsider your argument's fundamental premise.